Thursday 15 March 2012

Prices Are People: Why Things Cost What They Do

By contributors@theatlantic.com (Derek Thompson) | The Atlantic

Introducing the 2012 Atlantic Money Report, a month-long project on the history of breadwinners and pricetags
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In the mid-twentieth-century vernacular, the word "bread" means money. But in most years before the twentieth century, people spent so much of their figurative dough on literal dough that breadwas functionally synonymous with cash. As late as the 1850s, the typical British family spent 80% of its income on food, Bill Bryson wrote in his entertaining domestic history At Home. The majority of that 80%? It went to bread. 
The last 150 years have experienced all sorts of tumultuous economic revolutions. But the revolution in food and agriculture was perhaps the most important to the family budget. At the end of the 19th century, more than 40% of families lived on farms. By 1950, the farm economy had fallen to a tenth of the labor force. Oh, but the decline wasn't nearly done. This year, farmers account for less than 2% of all workers. 
In a century's time, farming has gone from the dominant occupation in the United States to an job whose share of employment equals Tennessee's share of the national population.
And yet, we're not all starving. In fact, most Americans are better fed than our ancestors could possibly be. Today we spend as much on home-cooked food as we do on home-used utilities (see the graph below). The price of feeding ourselves has gone way down in the last century. But the price of heating ourselves -- and driving ourselves, and housing ourselves, and educating ourselves, and insuring ourselves, and treating ourselves with health care -- hasn't gone down. It's gone up. 
Over the next month, we're putting together a special report about the money we spend. Economics is so often the economist-eye view of the world. We're out to recreate the consumer-eye view of the world. We're interested in what things cost, why they cost that much, and why they're getting more expensive and less expensive. If you've got awesome and surprising stories about prices, costs and the flow of money, leave us a tip in the comment section. 
To kick things off, we'd like to very briefly introduce one of the themes of the Money Report: Prices are people.
PRICES ARE PEOPLE
Across the 20th century, the labor force has shifted from farmers and foresters to manufacturers and then to professional and service workers. In 1900, we spent much of our manpower growing food and feeding ourselves. By 1950, the major economic industries were manufacturing and construction. But today's labor economy revolves around services, not products. Service industries grew from 31 percent of all workers in 1900 to 78 percent in 1999, the BLS reports.
Here's a snapshot of the employment story since 1939. I'd direct your attention to about 1975. In the same time span that our education/medical sector has quadrupled, and our business service sector has increased by the same four-fold rate, total manufacturing jobs have fallen. As multinational companies have made better use of global supply chains, manufacturing and other so-called tradable occupations have been in decline. But retail jobs have increased because selling cars and food and furniture is still a face-to-face business that's hard to do anywhere except at the point of sale.
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Economist Stephen Rose, writing for The Atlantic this month, surveyed that same half-century period between 1947 and 2007. But instead of looking at people, he looked at prices. It's the same story. Rose reports that spending on items that could be manufactured or produced globally -- food/drink and clothing -- fell the most. But the categories with the largest employment gains in the graph above -- education and health care -- also saw the largest gains in consumer spending in the graph below.
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There is more to prices than employment figures, of course. Productivity and technology matter. Scarcity matters. Demand matters. But labor is such an important cost that it can appear almost determinative.
Across the economy we can see that items that require fewer and fewer American workers per completion (think: socks) get cheaper, while services that can't find similar ways to replace American workers (think: health care, education, government) don't get cheaper at all. In fact, they sometimes get more expensive. 
This isn't bad news, necessarily. A rich economy that needs fewer people to make things can employ those people doing other important things. We should want workers to move into new industries that serve our needs. But too many workers serving a need leads in one direction: Up. It is only a small exaggeration to say that prices, for lack of a matter word, are people.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/prices-people-why-things-cost-172207704.html;_ylt=AhYN.R.940EZ43.4OzYhYbCiuodG;_ylu=X3oDMTIzNDF2amZtBG1pdANGaW5hbmNlIEluZmluaXRlIEJyb3dzZSBTcGxpdARwb3MDNgRzZWMDTWVkaWFJbmZpbml0ZUJyb3dzZUxpc3Q-;_ylg=X3oDMTJ0NzhqN2FwBGludGwDdXMEbGFuZwNlbi11cwRwc3RhaWQDNTIzNWFlNDktYzlkYS0zMGIzLTkxOGUtNWFlY2IyODYzYTg5BHBzdGNhdANuZXdzBHB0A3N0b3J5cGFnZQR0ZXN0Aw--;_ylv=3

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